General Will we make the 8?

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📝 Summary:

The forum discussion centers on the New Zealand Warriors' prospects for NRL finals qualification, particularly the feasibility of securing a Top 4 or Top 8 spot amid fluctuating form and injuries. Early optimism highlighted the team's strong start to the season, with members calculating points targets for finals contention and analyzing favorable run-home fixtures against lower-ranked teams #1#3. User analysis emphasized that winning 6-7 of their remaining games could secure a Top 4 finish #3#97, while statistical models projected an 80.4% probability of Top 4 and 98.4% for Top 8 #47#52.
The narrative shifted significantly following key injuries to players like Mitchell Barnett season-ending and later Luke Metcalf, which intensified concerns about depth and performance sustainability #8#147#170. Critical posts debated the team's resilience, with some arguing replacements like Dylan Walker and Taine Tuaupiki could maintain competitiveness #29#177, while others warned that further injuries could jeopardize their ladder position #94#163.
Ladder predictions evolved throughout the thread, initially favoring a Top 2 push but later acknowledging challenges after losses to Penrith and Brisbane #132#154. The Raiders were frequently cited as minor premiership favorites due to their soft draw and bye advantages #64#135. By the later stages, the focus pivoted to securing any finals berth, with users noting that even 2 more wins should suffice for Top 8 qualification given the congested lower half of the ladder #203351#213. Noteworthy analyses included breakdowns of opposing teams’ run-home difficulty #66#139 and reflections on the psychological impact of late-season slumps #186#205.

🏷️ Tags:

Finals Qualification, Injury Impact, Ladder Predictions

📊 Data Source: Based on ALL posts in thread (total: 224 posts) | ⏱️ Total Generation Time: 19s
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NZWarriors.com

So if we either win a game or Dolphins lose a game over the course of the next 3 rounds, that's the crux of our finals chances right?

It's gonna come down to that Raiders v Dolphins game on the last Sunday of regular season isn't it 🫣


God I hope we just demolish the Titans this weekend. Destroy them. Maim them. UNLEASH THE FURY!!!!
 
haven't looked at the ladder predictor until now:

Win 3 and go to Canberra in the 1-4, who though they are better than us, ALL the pressure would be on them, ambush potential
Win 2 and getting one of Roosters or Broncos at home in the 5-8, more talented teams, but erratic, would have some sort of winning form.
Win 1 and similar story but in the 6-7, and in worse form.
Win 0 and we 8th and dog tucker no matter who we play.
 
haven't looked at the ladder predictor until now:

Win 3 and go to Canberra in the 1-4, who though they are better than us, ALL the pressure would be on them, ambush potential
Win 2 and getting one of Roosters or Broncos at home in the 5-8, more talented teams, but erratic, would have some sort of winning form.
Win 1 and similar story but in the 6-7, and in worse form.
Win 0 and we 8th and dog tucker no matter who we play.
Obviously want us to stay in the 4 but can't see it happening personally. However, out of the current top 4 teams I'd much rather play the Raiders in the first week.
 
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