We look better on paper, but I won't write off the Tigers as there's additional factors to consider:
- Long range forecast in Sydney for Sunday is cloudy and 31 degrees. Campbelltown is generally 2-5 degrees hotter than inner Sydney, so temperature could be low-mid 30's by game time. The afternoon dry heat could be a factor.
- Maguire is a smart operator. He would have taken something out of the Whangarei trial and will be prepared to counter. Especially with a hard nut like Farah who will get in the face of our halves.
- The travel factor, wasn't so much an issue last year and let's hope it isn't this year. But first trip overseas this season adds an unfamiliarity to the process.
- The bounce factor - coming off a high from the 40-6 hammering of the Doggies, plus an emotional time given last Friday's events.
- Kiwi factor in the Tigers team. Rusty, Mutts, Benji, Marsters, Taylor will lift when playing our Warriors. More often than not it happens.
- Soward. Don't want to upset him now, do we?
Funny thing is that this forum complained about Mutts and Packer before they left and reckoned good riddance to them. And for good reason. Mutts was lazy and Packer's running impact diminished. They haven't gone badly at Tigers. But they're not up with the top tier.
Marshall hasn't been effective since he left league to go to union.
Farah is good and he and Marshall will no doubt try to target Keighran. But he's lost his sharpness. I'm comfortable our back three will pick up the slack.
Roache himself is sharper in the running game.
Masters is not as impactful as his size suggests. He's still developing but I don't feel sides quiver at the sight of him right now. We handled easily enough in the trial. He had a couple of good busts when it didn't matter. His defence is a bit soft.
Do you see anything in their team that even sounds nearly as menacing as Ken/
Fusitua/
Roger Tuivasa-Sheck?
You're going to see. Cleary isn't there any more. That D has deteriorated. No Simona. Nofoaluma is not the player he was 2 or 3 seasons ago. He hasn't kicked on. I see nothing to fear in that side.
Finally, Brooks is the most overhyped. Not even the Aussies can pinpoint much in his game to fear. He has failed to deliver to the degree people accused
Shaun Johnson of, except
Shaun Johnson has an impressive highlights reel. Brook's best asset is his speed on support. If his pack dominates and gets a roll on he can get away from you.
I'm confident it's another 16+.